Somalia security situation and elections risk analysis 2026

Somalia’s push to hold national elections in 2026 is unfolding against a persistent backdrop of insecurity, militant attacks and fragile state institutions. For voters and political leaders, the central question is not only whether elections can be organized, but whether security conditions, legal arrangements and election administration can withstand the pressures that have repeatedly delayed past votes. As Somalia weighs the transition toward broader political participation and a contested electoral timetable, the risk…