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Opinions

Opinion and commentary on Somalia, the Horn of Africa, African affairs, policy, and current events from Axadle contributors.

Category

Opinions

Opinion and commentary on Somalia, the Horn of Africa, African affairs, policy, and current events from Axadle contributors.

72 Articles

Djibouti’s Strategic Location Brings Rent Amid Global Rivalries

By Omar M. ElmiTuesday April 14, 2026 With President Ismail Omar Guelleh having secured 97.81% of the vote on April 10 and preparing to enter a sixth term, Djibouti again finds itself in a familiar but uneasy position: politically tight, economically fragile, and strategically impossible to ignore. In this small state on the Horn of Africa, power is measured not only in votes, but in geography, military rents, and the ability to keep rival interests in delicate balance. Few countries have leveraged their location as…

A High-Stakes Test for Somalia and Turkey in Offshore Oil Exploration

By Abdirahman Abdishakur Warsame | April 10, 2026 The arrival of the oil exploration vessel Çağrı Bey in Mogadishu marks a pivotal moment for Somalia’s ambitions to harness its offshore natural resources. It is a milestone laden with both opportunity and uncertainty—not only for Somalia, but also for Turkey, whose vessel is operating beyond its borders for the first time. Handled responsibly, this development could unlock a new chapter of economic growth and strategic cooperation between the two nations. Mismanaged, it…

Leader of Change: Driving Transformation and Innovation in Modern Leadership

Change is never simple. It comes with pressure, risk, and uncertainty. But for any country seeking real progress, it is often the only way forward. In Somalia, President Dr. Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has chosen to face that reality head-on. Since returning to office, he has taken a series of bold and, at times, difficult decisions aimed at reshaping the country’s direction. Drawing on his previous experience, he quickly identified key areas that needed urgent attention to deliver visible results. Now, after years of effort,…

Somalia-Kenya border reopening signals new chapter for EAC traders

By Dulmar Maalim Wednesday April 1, 2026 President William Ruto’s announcement that the Somalia–Kenya border will reopen in April 2026 marks a notable turn in the Horn of Africa’s security and economic outlook. Beyond the symbolism, the move speaks to a broader regional recalibration — one that places trade, connectivity, and cooperation at the center of the East African Community’s integration drive. The significance of the decision fits squarely within the broader argument I have made about regional blocs and…

Opinion: From Defiance to Dialogue—Somalia’s Federalism Remains Unfinished

OP-ED: A Federation at a Crossroads: Somalia’s Leap from Standoff to Settlement Somalia is staring down a constitutional and political rupture that exceeds the usual turbulence of fragile states. A high-stakes confrontation between the Federal Government in Mogadishu, headed by President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, and the South West State administration led by President Abdiaziz Laftagareen has emerged as one of the most serious tests of Somalia’s federalism since the system took shape. Beneath the surface lies an…

Why Israel Took the Risk—and What We Should Do Next

Israel’s recognition of North Western State of Somalia has jolted Somalia’s public square, igniting protests in the streets, on social media and from mosque pulpits. The outrage is understandable: for many Somalis, it feels like a direct strike at sovereignty and territorial integrity. But the larger truth can’t be shouted down. This moment is less a bolt from the blue than the culmination of long-standing vulnerabilities Somalis have allowed to deepen at home. This opinion argues that the crisis is a mirror, not a…

Ilhan Omar should rethink her intensifying feud with Donald Trump

Opinion | Ilhan Omar Must Reassess Her Escalating War of Words with Donald Trump The clash between Rep. Ilhan Omar and President Donald Trump has entered a phase where the volume of rhetoric risks drowning out the lives at stake. With the White House reviving a hard-line immigration agenda and ending protections that stabilized Somali-American families for decades, the cost of political grandstanding is no longer theoretical. It is immediate, personal and potentially irreversible for tens of thousands in Minnesota and…

Somalia’s National Identification Authority Faces Constitutional, Operational, and Legitimacy Hurdles

Somalia’s push to operationalize a National Identification and Registration Authority (NIRA) has ignited a debate that reaches far beyond technical administration. At stake are core questions about the Provisional Constitution, the balance of power between the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) and the Federal Member States (FMS), and the real-world consequences of layering a new federal ID on top of existing systems, including the country’s internationally recognized biometric passport. The outcome will shape citizen…

How Reconciliation in Erigavo Could Shape Relations between Puntland State iyo North Western State of Somalia

Analysis: In Ceerigaabo, a Local Truce Holds National Promise for North Western State of Somalia and Puntland State At first light in Ceerigaabo, the mountain air smells faintly of resin from the frankincense groves that have fed trade routes for centuries. Today, the conversation in this highland town in the Sanaag region is less about caravans and more about coexistence. Elders, clerics and businesspeople are trying to turn a fragile respite from clan tension into something sturdier—an agreement that could unlock security…