Jubaland Warns of Authoritarian Risks in Somalia Amid Centralized Power

KISMAYO, Somalia – In a landscape rich with history and complexity, the region of Jubaland sends out a sincere plea to the international community. They urge an intervention to prevent Somalia from slipping into what they term a looming dictatorship. Recent political shifts, they argue, seriously jeopardize the cherished principle of federalism that many believe is the backbone of Somalia’s future.

Ahmed Islam Mohamed Madobe, the President of Jubaland, doesn’t mince words. He accuses President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud of steering the country down an authoritarian path. According to Madobe, the central government, headquartered in Villa Somalia, is encroaching on national issues that demand a collective approach. Isn’t it concerning, some might wonder, when decisions impact millions, yet the voices of those affected seem lost in the corridors of power?

At the heart of the debate are constitutional changes that Jubaland views as potential threats to national unity. President Mohamud is pushing for direct polls and an imperial presidency, both seen by critics as avenues leading to unchecked power. Jubaland and other opponents argue these moves could unravel the foundational structure of federalism, creating more divisions rather than unity.

In their statement, Jubaland asserts, “This is a critical moment for Somalia. The federal system is under threat, and we must act now to safeguard the democratic gains we have made.” This is a plea not just for political support, but for the preservation of identity and collective progress.

Consider the escalating tensions between Somalia’s central government and regional states—a reminder of the delicate balance needed. Issues of security control, election processes, and constitutional reforms hang in the balance, often triggering memories of past conflicts.

Think about the electoral transition from a clan-based model to universal suffrage. It sounds ideal in theory, but the opposition warns of logistical nightmares that could undo years of hard work. Opposition leaders are not just concerned; they’re vocal, passionate, and determined to ensure Somalia doesn’t take a step backward.

In another powerful statement, the opposition describes the collapse of the National Consultative Council (NCC), replaced with what they see as a “partisan political body.” During this shift, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud announced the formation of the Justice and Solidarity Party—comprising Hirshabelle, Galmudug, and Southwest regions, raising questions about inclusivity.

The call for comprehensive and inclusive discussions is echoed across the political landscape. Opposition groups insist on the necessity of incorporating all major stakeholders to navigate Somalia’s mounting challenges. Indeed, President Mohamud faces the dual struggle of internal political disputes and the persistent threat of extremist groups like Al-Shabaab and ISIS. How does one lead a nation under such pressure?

There’s a warning from the opposition about President Mohamud’s alleged efforts to exert more control over Jubaland. Described as a “dangerous power grab,” such actions threaten to destabilize Somalia’s already fragile federal system. It’s a haunting prospect, reminding us that power, when unchecked, can overshadow the collective voice and shared vision of a people.