Uncertainty Looms Over Somalia’s NCC in Mogadishu Amid Delays and Boycotts
MOGADISHU, Somalia — There’s an unsettling air of uncertainty hovering over Somalia’s National Consultative Forum (NCC). Originally set to convene on May 1st, it faced a second postponement to May 5th, only to be delayed yet again. Reasons for this disruption are closely tied to the absence of pivotal delegates from various Federal States. Presently, only the leaders from SSC-Khaatumo, Firdhiye, and HirShabelle have managed to assemble in Mogadishu.
This begs the question: What keeps the Presidents of Galmudug and South West States from joining? Reports whisper of their arrival early tomorrow, yet the stalwart leaders of Northeastern State and Jubaland have made their decision clear—they will not partake in the gathering.
Amidst these delays, the political landscape grows increasingly tense. Northeastern State and Jubbaland have openly boycotted the forum, challenging what they cite as breaches of constitutional integrity by the Somali federal government.
But why this boycott? Could it be the government’s perceived indifference towards pressing matters, including the looming elections, pervasive security issues, or perhaps the contentious power allocation?
“Leaders must be careful not to light the fuse that could lead to an explosive crisis,” warned an observer familiar with Somalia’s intricate political web.
In recent weeks, James Swan, the UN Secretary-General’s Special Representative for Somalia, tirelessly attempted to coax the reluctant Northeastern State and Jubbaland leaders to the table. Despite his best efforts, that bridge remains unbuilt.
The National Consultative Forum, a beacon for constructive dialogue since its inception in 2017, once aimed to unify the federal government with its regional counterparts to mend key political and governance issues. Alas, tensions have only increased between the central authority and certain regional leaders, notably from Northeastern State and Jubbaland.
These divisions, marked by contentious debates over federalism, election protocols, and security arrangements, grow starker with each passing day. The discord reached a new peak when Northeastern State and Jubbaland resisted participation following Somalia’s disregard for international partners’ calls for an inclusive national dialogue, one that embraces all facets—including civil society and opposition voices.
Could this impasse signal a precarious path ahead for Somalia’s political future? Reflecting on history teaches us that unity often springs from the most improbable circumstances. Perhaps a fresh perspective might forge the solidarity needed to heal these rifts.
