Euro 2024’s fourth quarter-final buzzes with excitement as the Netherlands tackle Turkiye in Berlin.
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Ronald Koeman’s Oranje squad found their stride, obliterating Romania 3-0 in the round of 16.
Turkiye edged past Austria 2-1 in a nail-biter thanks to Mert Gunok’s critical save, catapulting Vincenzo Montella’s side into the quarter-finals.
Historical matchups hint at a thrilling encounter this Saturday.
A berth in the semi-finals hangs in the balance, with a potential clash against either Switzerland or England looming.
Let’s dive into some Opta stats to dissect this anticipated face-off.
What’s the scoop?
Opta’s calculations show the Netherlands as the favorites with a 58.1% win likelihood. Turkiye trails with a 19.7% chance, leaving a 22.5% probability for a draw.
This bout marks their 15th international meeting. The Dutch have a slight edge historically, with six wins to Turkiye’s four, and four draws.
Recent clashes have been high-scoring, featuring 13 goals over two games. Expect fireworks in this one too.
In this tournament, both teams are among the top eight for expected goals (xG). The Dutch boast 6.56 xG, Turkiye 6.11.
While both sides excel in attack, the Netherlands flaunts a stronger defense, a clear advantage.
A tough historical road for the Oranje
The Dutch have a mixed history with quarter-final successes, missing out notably against Argentina in 2022’s World Cup.
They last reached this stage at Euro 2008, faltering against Russia.
Koeman looks to harness the dominant form showcased against Romania as Tijjani Reijnders continues to impress.
Could it be Turkiye’s turn?
Turkiye aims for a historic third consecutive win in the Euros, a feat replicated from their 2002 World Cup run.
This is their fourth major quarter-final, with memories of past triumphs and defeats stirring the pot.
Discipline might be their Achilles’ heel, having accumulated a hefty 18 yellow cards so far.
Set-pieces could tip the scales, especially considering recent successes and failures in that department.
Players to Watch
Netherlands – Cody Gakpo
Gakpo’s vibrant performance continues to impress, propelling the Oranje forward.
His six goals across recent major tournaments are surpassed only by Mbappe.
Turkiye – Arda Guler
Real Madrid’s prodigy Guler shines on the German stage, proving instrumental in Turkiye’s advance.
His recent assist places him among notable teenage performers like Rooney and Ronaldo in Euros history.
Turkiye’s reliance on youth is evident with six teen starts in the competition, tying a record set by Spain in 2020.
