Africa’s Top Bauxite Producer Returns to Democracy After Four Years

After 4 years of military rule, Africa’s largest bauxite-producing nation prepares for elections

In September 2021, the political landscape of Guinea underwent a seismic shift. It was during this month that Colonel Mamady Doumbouya, at the tender age of 41, orchestrated a coup. The target? None other than Alpha Condé, the sitting president at the time. The reasons behind such drastic action were as stark as they were compelling: unchecked corruption, ongoing human rights abuses, and the economic mishandling that plagued Condé’s regime. But what drives a nation to place its faith in military rule?

Fast forward to a recent update reported by Bloomberg, where Guinean Prime Minister Amadou Oury Bah indicated a significant milestone. “The return to constitutional order will be effective in 2025,” he assured. It’s a promise that carries weight, yet also a timeline that demands patience. When the dust of the coup settled, the government stated its plans—constitutional referendums would herald the beginning, with both legislative and presidential elections lining up in the ranks of their ambitions.

Military Takeover

To comprehend the coup of 2021, one must first look back at the tenure of Alpha Condé. His inauguration as the first democratically elected president in 2010 marked a turning point from decades of strict authoritarian rule. Imagine a nation shackled for 50 years, suddenly glimpsing the possibility of democracy. However, Condé’s presidency wasn’t immune to controversy. His vehement move to tweak the constitution in 2020, ensuring himself a third term, led to a swell of public outrage. This was the spark that ignited the flames leading to his eventual overthrow.

Colonel Doumbouya, addressing his motivations for the coup, remarked on a fundamental principle neglected by the ousted regime: integrity. Indeed, how often does history remind us that power rests uneasily on the shoulders of those who betray their office? The coup, announced on September 5, 2021, was in Doumbouya’s words, a necessity driven by an overwhelming consensus of corruption and misdemeanor.

Guinea Moves to Restore Democracy

Under the discerning gaze of the international community, notably the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), Guinea’s interim leaders promised political reform. Initially, a commitment was made to hold a nationwide constitutional referendum and hand over the reins to a civilian government by the close of 2024. Yet, promises can falter and expectations wane. As opposition voices grew louder and bolder, so too did the government’s legal actions, silencing dissent in a country yearning for democratic breath.

Assurances were given that the military figures would remain distant from Guinea’s future political endeavors—a claim that might soon be tested. Rumors swirl around Colonel Doumbouya, hinting at his potential candidacy in forthcoming elections. A scenario contemplated in private corners and public forums alike. The Africa Center for Strategic Studies has highlighted May 2025 as the date for a prospective constitutional referendum, a prelude to elections yet fraught with uncertainties.

Ultimately, one question remains: Can Guinea truly navigate the waters back to democracy? It’s a question whose answer will shape not only its future but also its reputation on the global stage. Delayed milestones have already raised more pressing concerns about the sincerity of the transition. As the clock ticks towards December, anticipation builds, keeping both citizens and observers anxious. The path is long, the hurdles are many, and courage is needed to continue forward.

Amidst the evolving geopolitical landscape, Guinea stands as a nation at a crossroads, grappling with its legacy and potential. As the world watches, the country must decide its own destiny.

Edited By Ali Musa, Axadle Times International–Monitoring.

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