The Catalyst for Contention

The call for the summit, issued by Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud amidst the joyous Eid al-Fitr celebrations, aimed to address calls from international partners for enhanced political cohesion across Somalia. However, a deeper story unfolded. Back in December 2024, Northeastern State had distanced itself from the NCC, voicing concerns over perceived unilateral amendments to the constitution orchestrated by Mohamud. The question arises: when the foundation of cooperation is perceived to have cracks, how does one build a house?

A Social Contract Under Strain

Deni articulated, “The constitution is a social contract that binds Somali society. When that is broken, we cannot move forward in good faith.” His words echo a sentiment familiar to many—trust is easy to lose, hard to gain.

Even as Northeastern State champions dialogue and unity, it stands firm in its decision to refrain from participating in a summit perceived to violate constitutional principles. “Dialogue must be rooted in respect and agreement, not in the shadows of constitutional bypasses,” Deni emphasized. What does such a decision mean for the broader canvas of Somali politics?

The Ripple Effect of Absence

Notably, Jubaland seems poised to join Northeastern State in skipping the summit, amplifying concerns that without key federal member states at the table, any resolutions reached may risk lacking the crucial national legitimacy necessary for effective implementation and lasting peace.

Jubaland President Ahmed Madobe’s previous walkout from the NCC, prompted by the non-participation of Northeastern State and SCC-Khatumo, serves as a poignant reminder of the fractures in today’s Somali political mosaic. Can a summit proceed effectively if the key pieces are missing from the puzzle?

International Voices and Internal Echoes

President Mohamud stands at the crossroads, pressured by international voices urging him to foster an inclusive dialogue encompassing federal member states, opposition factions, and civil organizations. The agenda? To tackle Somalia’s political discord and seamlessly navigate the labyrinth of elections and security.

Consider this: In a world where politics often forgets the human spirit, can Somalia chart a course marked by unity and shared goals? Some might say resilience is woven into the fabric of Somalia’s spirit, but how long until reconciliation sews the torn pieces together?